Sunday, July 25, 2010

America's Two-Party System: For Better or for Worse



My students often ask me why we have only two parties in America. I quickly correct them; there aren't only two parties in America--there are many parties. Their real question, of course, is why only people from two parties ever win elections--i.e., why does America have a two-party system as opposed to virtually every other country, which have a multi-party systems. There are four big reasons:

(1) History It's not a very satisfying answer, but it's the way we've always done it. From the very moment this country began, the division was between the Federalists, who wanted a strong national government, and the Anti-Federalists, who wanted the states to have more power.

That division has not gone away, and it is one of the main things that divides the two main parties today: the Democrats like a strong national government; Republicans want a federal government that has less power. Between that division, there is hardly a medium ground for any minor party to advocate a different federalism structure.

(2) No Party Based on Class Very few things will divide people more than their status in society. Take a look at your circle of friends; they are likely similar to you in terms of socioeconomic status. Politically speaking, however, that is not true. There are poor Democrats and rich Democrats. There are poor Republicans and rich Republicans. There is no party, like in many countries, that speaks for the "working class" or some disaffected segment of society.

(3) No Proportional Representation In Europe, you register with a political party and you cast a vote for that political party. That party's representation in the legislature depends on what percentage of the vote it obtained. For instance, if the Social Democratic Party in Germany got 45% of the vote, that party would have 45% of the seats in the Germany legislature. The parties determine who will fill those seats.

Here in the U.S., we don't have proportional representation; it's all or nothing. The Democrats, for instance, could get 49% of the total vote in Congress, but unless each individual Democrat wins his/her respective race, the Democratic Party gets no representation.

(4) Both Parties Adapt Well History shows that the major parties are pretty good at courting voters who might feel like the party doesn't speak for them. This is usually the way it works: a minor party will create a stir and even win quite a few votes in a presidential election. The next time around, one of the two major parties has courted those voters, and the minor party fades away. Such was the case with the progressive Republicans (Teddy Roosevelt's Bull Moose Party) and George Wallace's American Independent Party. In both cases, the Republican Party was able to successfully court enough of those minor-party supporters, so many in fact that the minor party was never a threat again.

I am speaking nothing to the notion of whether the two-party system is a good system, I'm only speaking to the reasons for its existence. That said, the two parties are very entrenched in American political life and have done a great job at creating a system that disfavors minor parties. The end result: I can't imagine anytime in the near future where a minor party makes a lot of noise, so much so that they send a handful of people to Congress or send a candidate to the White House.

6 comments:

dallas.may July 25, 2010 4:11 PM  

Jeff,

I think there is a much bigger reason that was missed here. I think the two parties are a natural consequence of the voting system that we have created for ourselves.

Look at it this:

Draw a bell curve across the spectrum of the American Populous. On the x-axis write "Political affiliation" and on the y-axis write "# of people".

In this case, one sigma on each side of center are your moderates. They really don't care one way or the other, and probably couldn't tell your the difference between the two parties. This group doesn't vote in primaries. They probably wouldn't even know what a primary is. Now, draw two more bell curves. The first starts the furthest left on the x-axis at zero, builds up to it's peak about 1/4 of the way across, and falls off to zero at the 1/2 way point on the spectrum. The second Bell curve mirrors it's brother peaking out at 3/4 and falling off at the end of the spectrum. These two peaks will likely represent the winners of the primaries. The republican will be almost always be pretty far right, and the democrat will almost always be pretty far left. Now, when the general election rolls around, the 1-sigma people will vote. They will find themselves either closer to the guy on the right or the guy on the left.

Here is where the rub is. Political strategists on both sides know this math very well. Republicans know good and well that they are not going to win any votes from the far left guys, they are not even going to win many votes from the 1-sigma guys. So they are not going spend any time or money trying to connivence 98% of the population to vote for them. And they don't have to. We have a "First Pass the Post" electoral system. That means that they only need 51% of the vote to win, and on top of that, 49% is likely to vote for them anyway. That means that all of their ads, all of their baby kissing, everything they say will be geared towards that center most 2%. And that center most 2% will be the least educated of them all. In this case, branding is almost everything. (Obama was a rare exception to this rule. He managed to win a landslide 54% of the vote.)

The two party system is a natural consequence of out Primary/"First pass the post" system. If we really wanted to make a more fair system, and get more ideas in the public sphere, then we need to drop the "first passed the post" vote. There are many other much more fair voting systems that have been created. I would suggest that we turn to a ranking system. Instead of voting for one candidate, rank the candidates according to who you like the most. Then the far left and far right people would vote their guys #1 and the other people's guys #5 and we would see the #2 or #3 guy win. Then you will instantly see many more 3rd, 4th, 5th parties pop up. Campaigns would have to change tones very quickly. They would go from "Vote for me because the other guy is a ****" to "Vote for me first, and then these guys 2nd, 3rd, and 4th because they are closer to my values that that guy." It would really shake things up.

dallas.may July 25, 2010 4:12 PM  
This comment has been removed by the author.
Blake Perkins July 25, 2010 4:34 PM  

Nice article Jeff! In my 8th Grade US History Class we compare the the Federalist-Anti Federalist to the parties of today. We talk about the Whig Party and its demise help create the Republican Party in the 1850s when old fashined Whigs had to jump ship because they were losing in almost every race to the Democrats. I also find the party system very interesting.

Tim Perkins July 25, 2010 5:20 PM  

Sure seems the number of independents is growing, to the point that whoever is elected president in 2012 will win based upon how well he/she has garnered their votes. In a sense, they constitute a major party, albeit without a convention or a platform or a candidate.

Jeff S. July 26, 2010 7:45 AM  

Dallas, it certainly would shake things up to do it that way. But like I said and what you eluded to, the parties have helped reinforce the system that we have, and they will be incredibly resistant to anything that will cause them to lose power, and parties losing power was a common theme throughout the 20th century.

Tim, you are right about independents. Party strategy in a general election is always about targeting those voters in the middle. The number of independents today is the highest it's been since the mid 1970s.

Jeff S. July 26, 2010 7:46 AM  

Blake, I forgot to thank you for the compliment!

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